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Business Economists Expect U.S. Recession to Start in 2020 or 2021

A shift in monetary policy is seen as extending the current economic expansion and delaying the start of the next U.S. recession.

By Bernice Napach | August 20, 2019 at 02:00 PM
Business people with charts and graphs (Image: Shutterstock)

Business economists are split about when the next U.S. recession will start, and few expect it will begin this year.

According to the latest survey from the National Association for Business Economics, 38% of the 226 economists surveyed peg the start of the recession in 2020, down from 42% in the February survey, and 34% expect the recession will begin the following year, up from 25% in February. Only 2% expect the recession will begin this year.

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