yeild curve inversion Source: Shutterstock.

A key economic sign that has been one of the most reliable predictors of recession occurring within 12 to 18 months might not apply in the current era, and other evidence is thin that a recession will arrive in the next 12 to 18 months, according to a CUNA report released Monday.

“The current yield curve inversion, which tends to be a good predictor of economic activity, doesn’t in this case necessarily mean that the longest expansion in modern U.S. history will end in the near future,” said Mike Schenk, CUNA’s VP of economics and statistics.

Complete your profile to continue reading and get FREE access to, part of your ALM digital membership.

Your access to unlimited content isn’t changing.
Once you are an ALM digital member, you’ll receive:

  • Critical information including comprehensive product and service provider listings via the Marketplace Directory, CU Careers, resources from industry leaders, webcasts, and breaking news, analysis and more with our informative Newsletters.
  • Exclusive discounts on ALM and CU Times events.
  • Access to other award-winning ALM websites including and

Already have an account?


© 2023 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Jim DuPlessis

A journalist for decades.

More from this author

Dig Deeper


Credit Union Times

Join Credit Union Times

Don’t miss crucial strategic and tactical information necessary to run your institution and better serve your members. Join Credit Union Times now!

  • Free unlimited access to Credit Union Times' trusted and independent team of experts for extensive industry news, conference coverage, people features, statistical analysis, and regulation and technology updates.
  • Exclusive discounts on ALM and Credit Union Times events.
  • Access to other award-winning ALM websites including and

Already have an account? Sign In Now
Join Credit Union Times

Copyright © 2023 ALM Global, LLC. All Rights Reserved.