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We haven’t even really gotten started with rate hikes and the Federal Reserve is already worried that if interest rates go up, they’ll only need to come right back down again. As it stands today, any number of factors could force the Fed to reverse course (on its plan to raise rates) and ultimately cut rates: A shock to the U.S. economy from abroad, persistently low inflation, some new financial bubble bursting and slamming the economy, or lost momentum in a business cycle which, at 83 months, is already longer than 29 of the 33 expansions the U.S. economy has experienced since 1854.

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