Credit unions will remain healthy during the next year, asmemberships continue to grow, CUNA Mutual Group Chief EconomistSteve Rick predicted Tuesday.

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“The economy will continue to grow,” Rick said at the CUNAMutual Group’s annual Discovery Conference. “There won’t be arecession.”

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Credit union membership is expected to increase 3.8% this year,slowing somewhat to 3.3% next year, Rick said. “Our membershipgrowth has been on a tear,” Rick said.

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Credit unions will have stronger balance sheets, but weakerincome statements during the next year. Credit unions are likely tosee a 9% increase in loans, Rick said, adding, “We’re going into acredit boom the likes of which we haven’t seen in more than adecade.

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The economy is expected to grow in 2.4% in 2017—faster than the1.6% this year, he predicted. That growth is driven—in part---bygrowth in home construction, which is expected to grow6%.

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“We have a shortage of homes in this nation,” Rick said.

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Unemployment is expected to fall to 4.7%, which Rick said isbasically considered full employment. Rick said that lowunemployment will mean that credit unions will have problems hiringand keeping employees.

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On the other hand, he said, people will be purchasing morevehicles.

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Vehicle sales are expected to reach a record 17.75 million nextyear, with home sales totaling some 5.9 million homes.

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Loan delinquency rates will be about 75 basis points, accordingto Rick. “Our balance sheets will be strong,” he added.

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Rick predicted that the Federal Reserve will increase interestrates a quarter of a percent before the end of the year, followedby three increases during 2017—resulting in about a 1%increase.

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