Subprime Auto Delinquency Near Crisis Levels at Non-Bank Lenders
There’s a growing rift in car debt: Delinquent subprime loans are nearing crisis levels at auto finance companies, while loan performance at banks and credit unions continues to improve, data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York show.
Almost 9.7% of subprime car loans made by non-bank lenders -- including private-equity-backed firms catering to car dealers -- were more than 90 days past due in the third quarter, the highest rate in more than seven years, according to the New York Fed’s quarterly report on household debt and credit. That’s more than double the 4.4% delinquency rate for subprime loans made by traditional banks, a number that’s been falling pretty steadily since the end of the financial crisis.
“The subprime delinquency rates are really where the pressure is,” analysts and executives at the Fed wrote in a blog post accompanying the report. “The delinquency rate -- even among borrowers in the same credit score bucket -- is considerably higher and rising on the auto finance side.”
The divergence points to possible differences in underwriting that go beyond credit scores, the authors said.
Auto finance companies have long dominated the subprime lending area, originating and holding more than 70% of auto loans for the riskiest borrowers, according to the New York Fed. Their share has almost doubled since 2011 and now comprises more than $200 billion after years of booming car sales and fierce competition. Meanwhile, many traditional banks have been trimming their portfolios to curb exposure to riskier auto loans.
There’s $1.2 trillion in auto loans outstanding in the U.S., up $23 million from the previous quarter. About 20% of new car loan originations are subprime, meaning the borrowers have a credit score below 620, according to the Fed report.
“Although the impact on the larger financial sector may be muted, there are over 23 million consumers who hold subprime auto loans,” the researchers wrote. “These consumers may find their credit reports further damaged after a default or encounter further financial difficulties after experiencing a car repossession.”
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