It seems likely that 2013 will contain two distinct aspects for credit union mortgage programs. On the one hand, it seems certain that credit unions will continue to take a greater share of the overall mortgage market. Barring something unexpected, such as a national credit union scandal of some sort, consumers seems likely to continue their ongoing infatuation with credit unions as locally based, financial service providers and this directly helps boost credit union housing finance programs. In addition, as with credit cards, credit unions have room to both expand and improve their housing finance programs and that can only lead to more credit unions extending more mortgages.
On the other hand, it’s also likely that Congress will take up the reform of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the secondary-mortgage market and its very unclear what they might do. Secondary housing finance reform is the one remaining aspect of financial service reform still undone after the 2009 financial crisis, and it’s not certain which approach legislators might take. Should the market reform favor credit union access to the secondary market, credit union mortgage expansion could be quite strong. Credit union mortgages have long commanded a stronger safety and soundness premium when compared to those underwritten by banks and in a fair market, those mortgages should become a valuable CU asset.