Political Handicapper Sabato Predicts Trouble for CU Friends
The Republicans will gain 55 seats in the House - recapturing the majority and bring down several key credit union supporters, according to an analysis released today by political scientist Larry Sabato.
Sabato, a professor of government at the University of Virginia, cites Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D-S.D.) Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D-Pa.) as among the likely casualties next Tuesday. Both of those contests are designated "leaning Republican".
If Sabato's predictions for next Tuesday's elections come true, the House will have 232 Republicans and 203 Republicans.
He predicts an eight-seat gain for the GOP in the Senate -which would give the party 49 seats in the 100-membner chamber.
Among the casualties in the Senate he predicts will include Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) and Blanche Lambert Lincoln (D-Ark.). He cites Reid's race as "leaning Republican,'' and Lincoln's race is "safe Republican.''
Sabato cites several credit union allies as probable winners as well. He classifies Rep. Roy Blunt (R-MO) as a likely winner of an open U.S. Senate seat in Missouri and GOP state Rep. Cory Gardner a likely winner of his race against U.S. Rep. Betsey Markey (D-Colo.)
CUNA's PAC, the Credit Union Legislative Action Council (CULAC) has made independent expenditures on behalf of Blunt, Gardner, Herseth Sandlin and Reid, among other candidates. .
According to data compiled by The Washington Post, CULAC is the 49th biggest spender among the 212 organizations that have made independent expenditures. It has spent $837,328 --$471,896 on behalf of Democrats and $365,432 on behalf of Republicans.
Both CULAC and NAFCU's PAC have made non-cash contributions as well, including working extensively on the ground helping several allies, including Kanjorski.